Bhumjaithai and People’s Party in Tight Race as Election Day Approaches

Bangkok: Final election polls indicate a closely contested race between the Bhumjaithai Party and the People's Party, each vying for approximately 140 parliamentary seats. Assistant Professor Dr. Chetha Sapyaen from Navamintrathirat Open University shared these insights during a broadcast on MCOT News FM 100.5, revealing the results of a comprehensive nationwide survey.

According to Thai News Agency, the survey, which included responses from 11,000 individuals across the country, highlights a neck-and-neck competition between the two leading parties. The Bhumjaithai Party is projected to secure at least 140 seats, benefiting from a strong support network of constituency MPs and influential political families. Meanwhile, the People's Party is also anticipated to achieve around 140 seats, maintaining a narrow lead in party-list votes. The Pheu Thai Party ranks third, with a reported 17% popularity, while a significant portion of the electorate, between 20-25%, remains undecided.

Regional analysis shows that the People's Party has a notable lead in Bangkok, surpassing Bhumjaithai by approximately 6%. In upper Northern Thailand, the Pheu Thai Party holds a slight edge over the People's Party. Conversely, Bhumjaithai maintains strongholds in lower Northern and Southern Northeastern Thailand. The party is also making gains in Northern Northeastern Thailand, traditionally dominated by the Pheu Thai Party. In Eastern Thailand, the Pheu Thai Party leads the People's Party by 4-5%. The Democrat Party has regained prominence throughout Southern Thailand. In Central Thailand, Bhumjaithai and the People's Party are in a close contest.

Strategically, the Bhumjaithai Party has concentrated on the strengths of its constituency MPs and the evolving strategy of Mr. Anutin Charnvirakul, who is focusing on conservative voters with issues related to security and economic stability. The People's Party, on the other hand, has centered its efforts on social security rights to appeal to middle-class and working-class voters. The poll's accuracy was enhanced by using GPS technology to ensure effective fieldwork by volunteers.